While Groupon is experiencing rapid revenue growth, we believe operating margins are declining because, as we’ve shown above:Honestly the hyper-local guys get more interesting deals from places I actually might want to go to, and their margins are a lot lower. Plus the PennySaver still comes in the mail once a month with lots of "buy one/get one" entrees at places I'm actually interested in eating. Even without the "deteriorating" business model, I'm very unclear on how Groupon will compete in smaller markets against local players with low margins and better local knowledge and connections. There is power in the Groupon brand name, but when you're dealing with local people running a local site, that seems to be offset, especially since in a lot of smaller markets, the local guys may get there before Groupon. (And with so many big companies entering the same space, Groupon is getting diluted even before local competitors.)
Revenue per Groupon customer is declining
Cost to acquire those customers are increasing
Sales costs are increasing as it needs to run smaller deals with more merchants to personalize the experience
A study by Utpal Dholakia of Rice University last year found that 42 per cent of merchants who had sold group discounts to Groupon’s 16m “cumulative customers” (only a fifth of its 83m registered “subscribers” have paid for a “groupon”) would not do so again.
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posted by obiwanwasabi at 8:07 PM on June 12, 2011 [17 favorites]