Current state of evidence on whether climate change is causing recent extreme weather events
August 13, 2012 2:37 PM Subscribe
Is climate change causing our recent extreme weather events?
posted by LobsterMitten (46 comments total)
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(pdf). A panel of eminent climate scientists lays out the current state of what we know, and what we don't know yet, in this forthcoming paper. Jason Samenow (of the Washington Post's Capital Weather Gang blog) nicely summarizes
the key points.
The multi-author paper (Kunkel et al) is called "Monitoring and Understanding Trends in Extreme Storms: State of Knowledge", has been peer-reviewed, and is forthcoming in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society.
The study's goal: "This paper is meant to present a clear record that can be used by meteorological professionals about what is known and unknown and why."
Samenow's capsule takeaway: For most categories of extreme storms studied, the evidence is not sufficient yet to draw conclusions with any confidence. Extreme precipitation is the only category where the evidence is strong enough.