Although marriage is associated with a plethora of adult outcomes,In light of this, what should I make of the fact that you would apparently rather spend 500 words explaining Day 1 of Stats for Social Scientists to me than find out whether the authors are actually guilty of the error you accuse them of committing? I am trying to interpret that charitably, somehow.
its causal status remains controversial in the absence of experimental
evidence. We address this problem by introducing a counterfactual lifecourse
approach that applies inverse probability of treatment weighting
(IPTW) to yearly longitudinal data on marriage, crime, and shared
covariates in a sample of 500 high-risk boys followed prospectively
from adolescence to age 32. The data consist of criminal histories and
death records for all 500 men plus personal interviews, using a lifehistory
calendar, with a stratified subsample of 52 men followed to age
70. These data are linked to an extensive battery of individual and
family background measures gathered from childhood to age 17—
before entry into marriage. Applying IPTW to multiple specifications
that also incorporate extensive time-varying covariates in adulthood,
being married is associated with an average reduction of approximately
35 percent in the odds of crime compared to nonmarried states for the
same man. These results are robust, supporting the inference that states
of marriage causally inhibit crime over the life course.
...These results are robust, supporting the inference that STATES OF MARRIAGE CAUSALLY INHIBIT CRIME over the life course.I really don't understand what you're doing here.
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posted by Charlemagne In Sweatpants at 7:11 PM on January 21 [11 favorites]