grog: “This is really cool, but the model is clearly broken for 4th downs when backed up against your own goal line.”
Punting Less Can Be Rewarding, but Coaches Aren’t Risking Jobs on It
The 4th Down Study - Part 1
Assume you're about 50/50 for making that first down.
So why wouldn't you go for it?
The snow helped. (In the slippery, the ball carrier can make the cut easier than the defender can react to it.)
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