The data linking overweight and death ... are limited, fragmentary, and often ambiguous. Most of the evidence is either indirect or derived from [studies with] serious methodologic flaws. Many studies fail to consider confounding variables, which are extremely difficult to assess and control — Thus, although some claim that every year 300,000 deaths — are caused by obesity, that figure is by no means well established.
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This won't bother the legislators, though. They'll see cigarette purchases drop in their states and assume that they're "helping" a lot more people to quit, so they'll hike the taxes again next year since it clearly made such a difference. Plus, when the tax revenues don't meet their projections they can always raise property taxes, right? It's not like you can move your house over the border or into a reservation.
posted by mr_crash_davis at 11:26 PM on February 23, 2002