"It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future."

January 1, 2016 6:30 PM

A Pessimist's Guide To 2016 - By Flavia Krause-Jackson, Mira Rojanasakul, and John Fraher, Bloomberg Business

The 2016 Fortune Crystal Ball
Insiders give their top predictions for 2016, Steven Shepard,Politico
The Fix’s 2016 predictions!, Chris Cillizza,Washington Post
What will happen in 2016?,The Guardian

posted by the man of twists and turns (16 comments total)

Eponysterical?

Anyway, really enjoyed these play by plays, although some more detailed analysis would have been interesting. I feel like the new 'superforecasting' book has been on a lot of best.seller lists for 2015.
posted by permiechickie at 6:41 PM on January 1, 2016

That was pretty fun, in the same way reading the superflu section of The Stand is fun.
posted by Bringer Tom at 6:42 PM on January 1, 2016 [5 favorites]

Here's their 2015 article, for comparison. It's not... super accurate, even in a worst case scenario sort of way.
posted by codacorolla at 6:58 PM on January 1, 2016 [1 favorite]

Well accuracy isn't the point. How accurate were The Day After Tomorrow, 2012, or San Andreas? It's financial disaster porn.
posted by Bringer Tom at 7:01 PM on January 1, 2016

bloomberg has predicted 42 out of the last 5 disasters that happened last yr so shut yer mouth
posted by lalochezia at 7:07 PM on January 1, 2016 [4 favorites]

I'm pretty sure this is the business journalism version of erotic fiction.
posted by threeants at 7:09 PM on January 1, 2016 [2 favorites]

Just watch that company grow bigger and bigger... It's so sleek and confident, throbbing with vital cash... Which market will it penetrate next?
posted by overglow at 7:13 PM on January 1, 2016 [1 favorite]

The Guardian article is the only one that didn't induce a panic attack in me before the end of first paragraph.
posted by cynical pinnacle at 7:19 PM on January 1, 2016

Bloomberg makes beautiful, beautiful graphs and slideshows. That was a joy to click through.

I really hope The Fix's Obama idea comes through. And then they follow up with the dumpster fire prediction of Ted Cruz. I hope that's wrong. I mean, choosing the republican to lead this round is like choosing which tooth you want pulled without anesthetic. Remember when the leader of the Republicans was this guy we called Mittens. Can we bring back that guy?
posted by Neronomius at 8:21 PM on January 1, 2016 [2 favorites]

I definitely think Cruz will be the nominee. Who else could it possibly be? It's between him and Rubio, and he has less of a "boy wonder" quality, despite him and Rubio being the same age.
posted by sweetkid at 8:26 PM on January 1, 2016

The second article in the Fix link is one of the most deeply unserious things I've ever read--like a less Hitler-y Ann Coulter book. Wow.
posted by notsnot at 8:53 PM on January 1, 2016 [1 favorite]

I'm pretty sure this is the business journalism version of erotic fiction.

Is "Gold Prices Rise" the equivalent of a detailed cumshot description? Because that's certainly the leitmotif for this series.
posted by codacorolla at 8:55 PM on January 1, 2016 [1 favorite]

I can only see exactly 4 years in the future. So finally after all this time my visions are 2020.
posted by humanfont at 9:55 PM on January 1, 2016 [3 favorites]

I only made one resolution this year.

Don't ask any any questions that I don't already know the answer to.
posted by philip-random at 12:23 AM on January 2, 2016

Paul Ryan will be president. (Not necessarily in 2016)
posted by BWA at 7:37 AM on January 2, 2016 [1 favorite]

Scenario 03: Christian Slater may or may not be responsible for the collapse of Evil Corp.
posted by Sonny Jim at 8:14 AM on January 2, 2016