There is overwhelming evidence that such capital market liberalization exposes developing countries to high levels of risk beyond their economic capacity without enhancing their economic growth.Have a drink sometime with some poor bastard from Argentina who's come to São Paulo, Brazil because Brazil suddenly looks like the golden land of opportunity in comparison: a currency under pressure, but at least a currency, instead of bartering with eggs and Paraguayan cigarettes. And having worked at a Big 5 investment during the Latin American telecom privatizations of the 1990s makes this point, from a recent interview with Stiglitz, ring true:
... globalization of the capital market serves the interests of speculators and people who are interested in pushing short-term securities. Some of the unbalanced trade rules, such as the intellectual property regime, are pushed by drug companies and the entertainment industry over the interests of the broader scientific community, over those who are concerned by the health and care of the very poor.
During the course of the war, Keynes was at the Treasury and set himself to think about the post-war economic order. In 1938, he had warmed up to Benjamin Graham's proposals for an international "commodity-reserve" currency to replace the Gold Standard. In 1943, Keynes forged his ideas for "Bancor", a proposal for an international clearing union. In consultation with the Americans, Keynes eventually relented on his idea and accepted the American "White Plan" for an international equalization "fund" held in the currencies of the participating nations. However, several essential aspects of Keynes's clearing union idea were incorporated.but i think stiglitz's point about the (over)use of the USD as a global reserve currency is well taken too!
It’s human nature to compartmentalize our problems -- treating one in isolation from the other. But the real-time global economy offers no such sheltered laboratory. The confluence of uniquely powerful pressures -- deflationary risks and global imbalances -- is here today and is not about to go away in short order. It’s always tempting to put aside these concerns -- especially if the world is now getting somewhat better. But time does not work to our advantage in finding a painless and easy way out. The real problem is that a dysfunctional world lacks a holistic game plan in dealing with issues that are truly global in scope. The only way out, in my view, is for the world to get together in the form of a summit meeting and set a global agenda for the restoration of balanced growth.i think commodity reserves and SDRs could also be supplemented by other monetary schemes like community currencies (ithaca HOURS, LETS teifis) and even corporate scrip (frequent flyer miles, disney bucks, et. al :) and their traditional problem of being "crowded out" by the positive network externalities that derive from widely circulated currencies, i.e. the barrier to entry for new currencies, could be solved by the internet :D like you already have whole virtual economies such as everquest running with functional currency units!
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A lengthy, but though-provoking read (and reaosnably easy to understand for those of us who are not economists).
posted by Ignatius J. Reilly at 10:12 AM on August 7, 2003