Many assume that, as manufacturing jobs in the U.S. decline, manufacturing jobs in China rise. In fact, rising productivity leading to the loss of manufacturing jobs is much more powerful in China than in the U.S. Depending on which figures one uses, the decline of manufacturing jobs in China may be more than 10 times the American loss. All calculations show that Chinese manufacturing job losses are proportionately more severe than in the U.S.Yes, that's right, China is losing more manufacturing jobs than America, and America's manufacturing output has been expanding continuously. Fortune magazine recently cited the same phenomenon: "Even China, which is supposed to be where most of our factory jobs are going, lost 15 million jobs in that period, vs. America's loss of just two million."
Myth three: The rise of the service sector at the expense of the manufacturing sector means that Americans are being forced out of high-paying manufacturing jobs and into low-paying service jobs. The reality is that while some workers lose steel jobs and move to McDonald’s, the larger trend is higher-paying service-sector jobs squeezing out lower-paid manufacturing jobs.
Myth four: Restricting imports from China would reduce U.S. unemployment. In reality, over recent decades, more protectionist economies like France and Germany have experienced a negligible increase in total jobs, while the more open U.S. has experienced a huge rise in total jobs and achieved unemployment levels about half those of France and Germany. Restricting imports would make America’s economy behave like that of France.
Myth five: America faces a manufacturing crisis, caused by competition from China. The reality is that U.S. manufacturing production has soared, decade after decade. Imports from China equal only 5 per cent of U.S. manufacturing.
Myth sixth: Due to its undervalued currency, China is taking over manufacturing of almost everything. In reality, China’s successes have been concentrated in low-end manufacturing.
Where China has tried to move quickly into higher-level exports, as in Shanghai, huge investments have resulted in slower export growth than elsewhere in China. About 83 per cent of Chinese technology exports are the exports of foreign companies, and the bulk of the profits typically go to those companies. China’s hi-tech imports greatly exceed its hi-tech exports.
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posted by faceonmars at 6:11 AM on November 23, 2003