It was my impression that the top-level Japanese military leaders assumed if they attacked the United States then they had to grab as much of the Pacific and Asia as fast as they could because they knew that they would lose if they got into an extended war with a fully mobilized U.S.Your impression is correct. Admiral Isoroku Yamamato, who'd studied in the US and knew the country's capabilities, explicitly said at the time
"In the first six to twelve months of a war with the United States and Great Britain I will run wild and win victory upon victory. But then, if the war continues after that, I have no expectation of success."Other than for a few delusional militarists who really did believe all that crap about Amaterasu Omikami, the Japanese never really hoped for a victory against America, just a long, drawn out campaign of attrition which would result in a cost too high for the American populace to bear. This, of course, is where the A-bomb comes in, as it completely ruined that calculation.
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posted by jonson at 11:43 PM on August 15, 2005