Join 3,494 readers in helping fund MetaFilter (Hide)


odds of dying
February 12, 2007 3:56 PM   Subscribe

Odds of dying This might not be all that useful in Vegas, but still not bad to know.
posted by konolia (54 comments total) 3 users marked this as a favorite

 
A pretty graphic, but I wish it was a set of hyperlinks, too. Even to Wikipedia stuff. Also, I want to know whether it's U.S. or worldwide odds.
posted by cgc373 at 3:59 PM on February 12, 2007


Well, that "total odds" bit kinda bummed me out.
posted by Cyrano at 4:00 PM on February 12, 2007 [1 favorite]


The fact that I'm more likely to die from a fall than from an "air/space" accident seems to vindicate my fear of ladders.
posted by muddgirl at 4:02 PM on February 12, 2007 [1 favorite]


They forgot "Rollercoaster accident with Gil Grissom".
posted by Smart Dalek at 4:02 PM on February 12, 2007


I would like to see that broken down by sex, class, and race.
posted by tkchrist at 4:03 PM on February 12, 2007


Well, thank goodness. The things I'm most afraid of are farther down the list.

Take that, bees!
posted by Astro Zombie at 4:04 PM on February 12, 2007 [2 favorites]


World Death Rate Holding Steady At 100 Percent
posted by The Card Cheat at 4:09 PM on February 12, 2007 [1 favorite]


I thought the leading cause of death was being born prematurely and then dying of Respiratory Distress? (A fate I barely avoided)

So I guess this should read: "If you can read this then you have already survived many things which could have killed you. Now, here's your odds starting now..."
posted by vacapinta at 4:13 PM on February 12, 2007


How about "Erotic asphyxiation accident with Gil Gerard?"
posted by Cyrano at 4:13 PM on February 12, 2007


That 1 in 7 chance of cancer. Is that right? I've heard higher - and been unconvinced. Do the odds count the same people having recurrences as if they were independent? Ask because I recall reading that the chances of divorce were 1 in 2, but that this was a false stat, because it was the same people getting divorced five or six times.
posted by A189Nut at 4:13 PM on February 12, 2007


tkchrist, I would guess you're quite likely to die during sex, not as likely to die in class and not terribly likely to die in a race.

Thank you. I am here all night.
posted by veggieboy at 4:14 PM on February 12, 2007


It's a 1 in 7 chance of dying from cancer, A189Nut.
posted by matthewr at 4:15 PM on February 12, 2007


What would I give to not have my last comment flash me back to the erotic asphyxiation scene in the 1991 William Katt masterpiece Naked Obsession?

Quite a bit. Quite a bit...

posted by Cyrano at 4:25 PM on February 12, 2007


So just under 1% of people commit suicide? Depressing.
posted by Saydur at 4:26 PM on February 12, 2007


No, sex, class, and race are less useful than age. All those falling deaths are old people. And nationality will out predict race.
posted by jeffburdges at 4:26 PM on February 12, 2007


Well, crap. I fall all the time. On bees.
posted by gordie at 4:32 PM on February 12, 2007 [1 favorite]


All those falling deaths are old people.

Nope. The falling deaths are mostly from people trying to outrun the fireworks, floods, earthquakes, lightning, executioners, bees, guns, suicides, and Shriners.
posted by It's Raining Florence Henderson at 4:32 PM on February 12, 2007 [4 favorites]


"Falling"? Landing, surely.
posted by matthewr at 4:38 PM on February 12, 2007 [1 favorite]


I never imagined that I was more likely to be executed than struck by lightning.
posted by owhydididoit at 4:39 PM on February 12, 2007


you heard it from jeffburdges: all people under age 60 are completely immune to falling damage.
posted by tehloki at 4:40 PM on February 12, 2007


I never imagined that I was more likely to be executed than struck by lightning.

On the contrary. Only a quarter of people struck by lightning die. All executed people die. So you're significantly more likely to be struck by lightning than be executed.
posted by matthewr at 4:42 PM on February 12, 2007


Given the risk of legal execution in this list, I would venture to guess that these are worldwide numbers, or pure crap.
posted by JWright at 4:42 PM on February 12, 2007


the probability of dying from being gunshot by cigarette smoking bees is roughly 1 in 19,846,733,298.

I feel much better.
posted by exlotuseater at 4:44 PM on February 12, 2007


Ok, that's all well & good. But could someone please give me the odds of dying while competing in a sex race inside of a classroom? Because that happens to me all the time. So, just wondering how much danger I'm in...
posted by miss lynnster at 4:46 PM on February 12, 2007


Its not as pretty but I got this off medicinenet:


Heart disease and stroke were the leading causes of death in 2001, regardless of countries' incomes, the study shows.

However, other leading causes of death differed depending on countries' incomes. Here is the list for high-income countries:

1. Heart disease
2. Stroke
3. Lung cancer
4. Lower respiratory infections
5. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)
6. Colon and rectum cancers
7. Alzheimer's disease and other dementias
8. Type 2 diabetes
9. Breast cancer
10. Stomach cancer

Here is the list for low- and middle-income countries:

1. Heart disease
2. Stroke
3. Lower respiratory infections
4. HIV/AIDS
5. Fetus/newborn (perinatal) conditions
6. Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD)
7. Diarrhea
8. Tuberculosis
9. Malaria
10. Road traffic accidents

posted by vacapinta at 4:49 PM on February 12, 2007


Where is "old age"? Seems a lot of the elderly are dying from that lately.
posted by rolypolyman at 5:26 PM on February 12, 2007


miss lynnster: this sounds like pretty high-risk behavior.
posted by exlotuseater at 5:31 PM on February 12, 2007


That big circle disturbs me.
posted by caddis at 5:47 PM on February 12, 2007


Nicely designed visualization of statistics.
posted by nickyskye at 5:50 PM on February 12, 2007


Looks sort of like a venn diagram, but I bet it isn't. Also, the areas of specific causes are too small compared to the "all causes" circle. These facts sadden me, and I don't really know why.
posted by Anything at 5:50 PM on February 12, 2007


I am stepping to the right of the red line... immortality!
posted by exlotuseater at 5:52 PM on February 12, 2007


The ubiquity of this kind of alarmist material worries me.
posted by gordie at 6:15 PM on February 12, 2007


I am sending this in to Threadless (slightly modified of course)...what a great graphic.
posted by Benway at 6:25 PM on February 12, 2007


I would have liked to have seen the chance of dying by terrorist attack.
posted by sfts2 at 6:56 PM on February 12, 2007


I've seen this in a magazine before, but now I have no idea which one. I want to say the Economist, but somehow, that just doesn't seem right.

Anyhow, my greatest fear is to be eaten alive by snakes, which has a 0%* chance of happening, but it's my greatest fear anyhow.

My second greatest fear is something I read in the Dictionary of Depraved English - sadly, I don't remember the word and said dictionary is in a basement in Iceland at the moment - anyhow, it's an intestinal parasite that causes you to be unable to expel feces so that all of your waste products back up in your gastrointestinal system and you die by choking on your own shit, often to the point of having shit come out of your nose.

The odds of that are also, thankfully, slim.

* You can't be eaten alive by snakes, plural. Snakes swallow their prey whole. You can only be eaten alive by one snake at a time, which doesn't scare me at all.
posted by grapefruitmoon at 7:12 PM on February 12, 2007


You can here; and yes, even now you have a far better chance of getting married after 40 than you do of dying in a terror incident in the US.

But your odds of dying in a motorcycle crash are virtually nil if you do not ever drive or ride on one (I'm assuming those are odds for people on cycles, not bystanders) so these odds in general are quite misleading.

Likewise, if you are not poor and black, your odds of being executed are highly different from if you are; in fact, if you live in Europe, your odds of this are nil.

And the flood odds are obviously quite different if you live on a mountaintop as opposed to say, New Orleans...
posted by Maias at 7:22 PM on February 12, 2007


What? No "Frightened to Death" percentage?

Who hasn't been at least scared *half* to death of Joan Rivers in their life time?
posted by katillathehun at 7:23 PM on February 12, 2007


1 in 119 commit suicide? That seems awfully high.
posted by TonyRobots at 7:26 PM on February 12, 2007


And the flood odds are obviously quite different if you live on a mountaintop as opposed to say, New Orleans...

And our sidewalks are shit, so we fall all the time. And don't get me started on the food, which, though delicious, is a bowl of heart disease. A bowl of heart disease below sea level. I should probably move.
posted by gordie at 7:40 PM on February 12, 2007


What I don't understand is how the majority of people die. There's no way that all those smaller circles added together come close to having the same area as the biggest one. It looks more like they add up to somewhere in the neighborhood of 1:3. So how are the other 2:3 dying?
posted by Steven C. Den Beste at 7:41 PM on February 12, 2007


Boredom.
posted by mr_crash_davis at 7:48 PM on February 12, 2007


gordie: "The ubiquity of this kind of alarmist material worries me."

Deaths from anxiety = 1 in 635
posted by PeterMcDermott at 7:59 PM on February 12, 2007 [1 favorite]


Man, I didn't know that car accidents caused such a high percentage of deaths. I would've guessed 1 in 200 or 300, but it's 1 in 84.
posted by aerotive at 8:27 PM on February 12, 2007


gordie: "The ubiquity of this kind of alarmist material worries me."

Deaths from anxiety = 1 in 635


Way to steal my punchline, pete.
posted by gordie at 8:41 PM on February 12, 2007


A plan to beat the odds and not die.
posted by Astro Zombie at 9:03 PM on February 12, 2007


Rather, I plan. I don't have a plan, except to pray that medicine gets to where I need it in the next 40 years.
posted by Astro Zombie at 9:04 PM on February 12, 2007


These numbers are fine for the general population, but they're way different for each person. For example, if there's been a suicide in your family, the odds that you also will off yourself are significantly higher than the average.

Well, thank goodness. The things I'm most afraid of are farther down the list.

Yes, well, that's a common problem. People run from our friends the bees but aren't afraid to gobble down a Twinkie or light up a smoke. This is why we have started our "Honey, I'm Home!" campaign to have bees included in every package of Twinkies or cigarettes, and a little door on the dashboard of every car that releases bees from an onboard hive into the passenger compartment if you exceed the speed limit.

This has been a message from the American Apiarist Association.
posted by pracowity at 1:47 AM on February 13, 2007


The image has been scanned out of a National Geographic, from August 2006 to be precise. It covers U.S. residents using 2003 data from the National Safety Council. The accompanying text by Siobhan Roth has been photoshopped out, but it concluded:

"No matter what the cause, one thing is certain: No one gets out of here alive."
posted by damo at 2:39 AM on February 13, 2007


1 in 119 commit suicide? That seems awfully high.

That includes the number of people Hillary Clinton has killed and made it appear to be suicide.
posted by tkchrist at 12:25 PM on February 13, 2007


And lest it be forgotten, Hillary ate the dingo that ate my baby. (Powerline guys, contact me thru my email. Teaser- Obama head of masked honey-hoarding cult! I accept PayPal.)
posted by maryh at 7:44 PM on February 13, 2007


Is that a Buffy reference, maryh?
posted by cgc373 at 7:48 PM on February 13, 2007


No, a Wicker Man reference, courtesy of fidgets.
posted by maryh at 8:55 PM on February 13, 2007


Ah, okay, gotcha. I thought you were referring to Oz's band, Dingoes Ate My Baby, but no.
posted by cgc373 at 9:01 PM on February 13, 2007


I sort of hate myself for not knowing there was a band called "Dingos Ate My Baby."
posted by maryh at 10:11 PM on February 13, 2007


« Older Corporal Punishment Imagery in Print Advertising....  |  Gizmoz... Newer »


This thread has been archived and is closed to new comments