*laugh* "Losing their confidence" all the way down to a net-positive rating. "Losing their confidence" all the way down to a number well within the usual up-down range any president's poll numbers usually go. When Bush's numbers go down below the mid-40s, and actually stay there for months on end, then you'll have an argument. Until then, it's meaningless.
And even then it really ought not to matter. What this thread really shows is how addicted Bill Clinton has made us as a nation to the (false) concept of Government By Polling and Government By Focus Group. Before Clinton, most presidents did what they thought was RIGHT, what was best for the country, what was in their hearts, rather than whatever they thought would best keep their numbers up. We didn't even used to GET poll ratings so damn often until Clinton. Reagan used to revel in bad polling, and would sometimes greet his staffers with tongue-in-cheek lines like, "So, who have you pissed off this week?" with the known implication that if you're only doing what's politically popular at the moment, you're highly likely to not be doing what's truly best for the country. (I'm paraphrasing, I can't recall the exact quote.)
So keep that in mind; Polls don't run the country, at least not like they did during the last eight years. You can think this means something, but it doesn't. As we must continually note here, since so few are willing to accept it: This is a representative republic, not a democracy. We elect people to make these sorts of decisions on our behalf. If, in four years, enough people think these have not been the right decisions, you may elect someone else.
posted by aaron at 1:53 PM on June 21, 2001
Besides, I never said Bush (or Reagan) NEVER look(ed) at polls. Just that their importance to them is far reduced. Both men - as well as most other presidents, believe it or not, have had the integrity to sacrifice power for principle. Even Clinton (and Nixon) did sometimes, just far less often.
posted by aaron at 3:20 PM on June 21, 2001
This was demonstrated quite well during the whole impeachment debacle, as pundit after politician after pundit after politician screamed that "the American People" want Bill Clinton gone, that "the American People" wanted to see the witch hunt continue. Meanwhile, the American people wisely ignored the sabbath gasbags (credit Calvin Trillian for that one) and were able to distinguish between the important and the trivial, all but screaming from the rooftops for those ninnies in the Capitol to get back to working on pressing issues instead of cheap political hack jobs. If that example doesn't suit you, the reaction of large numbers of people against seemingly closed-room corporatized decisions on globalization- i.e, the WTO et al- suggests that despite the happy sunny smiley news reports, people aren't the gullible sheep they're made out to be...
posted by hincandenza at 3:43 PM on June 21, 2001
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Me? I believe the media does not shape public opinion as much as reflect it, but I have no illusions that what the various organizations choose to cover affects the "Q" rating in the collective public awareness. But beyond merely "awareness," I honestly believe that most people interpret the data according to their pre-existing frame/s of reference - I don't know anyone who would say "I like George Bush because Peter Jennings seems to approve of him."
posted by davidmsc at 12:26 PM on June 21, 2001