Now being today? Probably not. But in politics, looking ahead more than a few months is about as accurate as looking ahead to the end of time. In early 1991, Bush had a 91% approval rating and was considered invincible. In the 1994 midterm elections, the GOP was essentially elected unanimously and the whole of the Democratic Party was declared dead. Think about what would have happened if Clinton would have had to run for reelection in November 1998.
The only true guarantee is that the national mood will be different in late 2002 than it is now. And different again in November 2004. And on and on.
posted by aaron at 3:29 PM on June 27, 2001
PR mechanisms developed since the post World War I era have a lot of Americans believing the flower rhetoric spewed by those occupying the corridors of power about silly, quaint notions like democracy or freedom. Hardly- that's just what's sold to you while the policies of these folks are decidely undemocratic, at home and abroad. That 1994 "Republican Revolution" was hardly a popular revolt; a vast majority of Americans want social spending increased among many other more liberal notions, and when informed overwhelmingly disagreed with the tenets of the Contract with America. But of course, dismantling Social Security was not called 'dismantling Social Security' back in 1994; it was packaged as "a solution that preserves and protects" (perhaps it also unites, not divides?). It's a time- tested way to make people unwittingly support something you could never convince them to support if you were honest about it. This is why we needed to keep sending military aid, funding, and support to Latin American nations when the citizens got wacky notions of actually instituting democratic control in their nation. Can't have that...
I'm currently reading Chomsky's "Profit Over People", and it's got me all full of piss and vinegar. Used to be just vinegar...
posted by hincandenza at 7:36 PM on June 27, 2001
I'm afraid to ask which one was supposed to be which.
posted by aaron at 8:53 PM on June 27, 2001
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posted by owillis at 1:11 PM on June 27, 2001