On further reflection, I oughtn't to make such a vague statement about a complex and sensitive matter. My view is that he is largely a victim (even if some of his internal communication was... incautious -- Hartham's Hugging RobotsWhat exactly is the problem with being 'incautious' in internal emails? Many of the quotes that got a lot of play weren't even about the overall temperature.
That said, Phil Jones is an idiot. How can anyone defend not keeping the raw data on which you base much of your science? Jones claims that some of the raw data can be reconstructed using various blah blah blah. Fine. That's still kinda dodgy, but okay. But some of it he says they replaced the raw data with adjusted data for various reasons. That's completely unacceptable. Not using adjusted data. That is commonplace. But not keeping, anywhere, the original raw data? -- JustinianNone of the origional raw data was lost. Just their collection of raw data from around the world. Anyone can reassemble it and reproduce the experiments if they want too. And apparently this was collected in the 1980s, when disk space was far more expensive then it is today.
Raw deal? Sure. Great scientist? No. -- JustinianWell, who are you to judge, exactly?
If we have “lost” any data it is the following:If, in fact, Jones is referring here to the data which can be reconstructed, then it is indeed just a right wing smear. But in context my reading is that this refers to other data than that which can be reconstructed from the original GHCN data.
1. Station series for sites that in the 1980s we deemed then to be affected by either urban biases or by numerous site moves, that were either not correctable or not worth doing as there were other series in the region.
2. The original data for sites for which we made appropriate adjustments in the temperature data in the 1980s. We still have our adjusted data, of course, and these along with all other sites that didn’t need adjusting.
We probably need to say more about this. Land warming sinceThis issue was addressed in the Klotzbach et al paper. This was trashed as nonsense by alarmists when it came out, it turns out that in private climatologists were expressing different opinions.
1980 has been twice the ocean warming -- and skeptics might
claim that this proves that urban warming is real and important.
Without trying to prejudice this work, but also because of what ISo you have people in private saying they don't buy the idea that we can say with much certainty that temperatures are exceptionally hot but in public this is not what was being pushed. This is important. If medieval man could handle temperatures perhaps 2-3 K higher then we will be able to easily.
almost think I know to be the case, the results of this study will
show that we can probably say a fair bit about <1>100 year variability was like with any certainty (i.e. we know
with certainty that we know fuck-all).
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posted by Hartham's Hugging Robots at 4:52 AM on February 15, 2010 [4 favorites]