Perhaps Paul very much likes the idea of being eaten, but when he sees a tiger, always runs off looking for a better prospect, because he thinks it unlikely the tiger he sees will eat him. This will get his body parts in the right place so far as survival is concerned, without involving much by way of true belief... Or perhaps he thinks the tiger is a large, friendly, cuddly pussycat and wants to pet it; but he also believes that the best way to pet it is to run away from it... Clearly there are any number of belief-cum-desire systems that equally fit a given bit of behaviourPaul would have to want to pet all dangerous predators the same way, would have to not observe what happens to anyone who doesn't pet the kitty by running away, would have to never communicate with anyone else about this, would have to not hunt other animals and eat them thus understanding predator-prey relationships... the chances of any one of Plantinga's ridiculous scenarios being true in isolation might be better than zero, but because belief occurs in a framework of other beliefs, the whole thing falls apart.
Furthermore, I can continue to carry out my business as if none of these sets of gods existed, and will see no apparent difference in my life. I could hardly say the same for acting as if logic did not work or my senses had no bearing on reality.
If one does not accept the thesis of other minds, one is reduced to paranoid solipsism.
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posted by inturnaround at 6:31 PM on May 21, 2010