I might be wrong...I thought I saw a light coming on
July 9, 2010 9:14 PM Subscribe
posted by AElfwine Evenstar (105 comments total)
10 users marked this as a favorite
There have been worse oil spills in history. The Lakeview Gusher
followed by the Gulf War Oil Spill
are the two worst in history. Another is the Ixtoc I Oil Spill
which was also in the gulf. This gives us a good frame of reference for what to expect right? We will cap this thing by the end of next month right? Or is the government lying to us about what's going on in the gulf of mexico? Is Mat Simmons crazy
? He believes that oil is covering 40% of the gulf beneath the surface
. Does this
man know what he's talking about.
Note that while I find Mr. Simmons claims a little out there (because of his political links to the George W. Bush) the following article has given me pause. If what Dr. Rinehart is claiming to be true is true things may be on the order of several magnitudes worse than anyone is telling us. I hope he doesn't know what he's know what he's talking about and after reading this article you will too.
"The Macondo Well has all the earmarks (based on current response, length of time to drill the relief wells, high pressure hard cap designs/fabrication) of being a super high pressure blow-out that is into the earth’s mantle. The “red oil” that is being seen floating on the GOM surface could be from the earth’s mantle (Where is the chemical signature for this oil after 70 days?). If this well had only been in the range of 14,500 psi well bore pressures, we would have already drilled the relief well and sealed it off (by day 40 at the latest with 7000 barrels of mud). However, since this has not happened, one can assume the situation is in a transition of going from very bad to worse with maybe three options left. Try and seal it with massive amount of super heavy mud (try and seal cracks/fissures) while attempting to adjust the well bore pressures with a massive cylindrical pressure vessel(s) on both relief wells and Macondo, attempt to seal it (way down-hole) with a small nuke if the granite cap is not fractured (maybe start with one-kiloton weapon), or let it flow for thirty+ years and contaminate the world’s oceans/environment (unacceptable or not?!). If the granite cap is badly fractured this could preclude using a 10-kiloton nuke (or any weapon to try and seal well bore) near the bottom of the well bore. If bottom kill does not work, this mega-disaster has implications of biblical proportions because there may not be an option other than trying to capture as much oil as possible with fleet of specifically-designed super tankers (both clean-up and separation/storage) for decades to come."
"Air quality issues are and will continue to be a major issue despite no real information forthcoming from USGS. There is currently a hot pipe (i.e., BP well blow-out) running through a massive methane hydrate formation (1200m thick?) that is possibly heating the formation and venting large amounts of methane gas underwater in addition to the one-half ton of methane being produced by the well for each ton of oil (ref; Dr Samantha Joye – Univ. of Ga. Researcher aboard RV Walton). This could be the real origin of the massive underwater methane/oil plumes and it there maybe more than one major source. NOAA/EPA has two codes for running Air Quality predictions (in fact there are several options/predictions being run). The output of a code from OILSPILL (surface oil) is input to AIRMAP to prediction onshore concentrations of benzene, hydrogen sulphide and methylene chloride depending on actual wind son data. Where are the predictions and IVV/validations by independent Universities of air quality on Gulf of Mexico (numerous websites have commented on total lack of data other than TV station in New Orleans)? Benzene is a known carcinogen (unsafe at 10 ppb or less) and hydrogen sulphide can cause deaths at 3000+ ppb. It is a major irritant and dangerous at levels of 50 ppm."
BP Hard Cap Installation And Relief Wells Wellbore Problems
When I first began reading this my first impression was that this guy was a conspiracy theorist much like I have been writing Mr. Simmons off as. Then I checked his c.v. and got a sinking feeling in my gut.
Here are the rest of his articles on the disaster in sequential order.
Proposed Solution(s) to Gulf BP Oil Spill
Design Considerations for a Shock-Hardened Deepwater Drilling Rig and Plausibility Argument for the Loss of the Deepwater Horizon Drilling Rig
Deepwater Drilling Gulf Of Mexico Fundamentally Flawed Protocol In Use Of Cement