"This is not a hobby or conversation piece,” he wrote in 1968, adding, “it is the struggle for survival. Drive a used car if the cost of a new one interferes. Divorce your wife if she will not cooperate.Scientology urges the exact same thing.
Both critics and supporters have made specific probability estimates about how likely cryonics is to work. In its worst form such probability assessments convey nothing more than putting a number on overall feelings of pessimism or optimism. More serious attempts have been made to calculate a specific probability that cryonics will work. Such attempts usually go as follows: A number of independent conditions (or events) for cryonics to work are distinguished, these conditions are “assigned” a probability, and the total (or joint) probability is calculated by multiplying them. Although such calculations give the semblance of objectivity, they are equally vulnerable to the fundamental objection that assigning one single number to the probability that cryonics will work is just a lot of hand waving.When you bring up just how improbable this is, supporters will talk about the moon landing. In fact, it's right there on Alcor's home page - the "notable quotes" of skeptics of the Apollo program. This retort has its own problems.
The charity argument is also invalid: Fiasco da Gama, who was mentioned previously in this thread, has said that he spends $300/year on blackjack and scotch. Unless you're willing to argue that any spending of $300 or more on frivolous things (entertainment, vacations, etc.) should be redirected to charity. It seems to me that investing in blackjack and scotch may have a far, far greater utility than a few vacations (it's difficult to say for sure given the uncertainty in the efficacy of blackjack and scotch.)Me, I've never heard a good argument against blackjack or scotch.
You know, even if the cryonics people are right, I don't think they are thinking clearly. You revive a brain-what kind of living hell must it be to be just a brain?Well, they put it in a robot body.
What rot. You won't get to be God. You'll live an endless cycle of aging, dying, rebooting. Even if we cure the old diseases, new ones will arise. As long as there is velocity, there will be a chance of trauma. Even more than usual your life will be full of suffering. Infinite life won't make you happy, although you might just get infinite chances. You might be like that flaky old PC in a dusty corner, always needing to be restarted, except in pain.Not if a robot body is used, which is probably what's going to happen. Or they might just end up being put into VR simulations or something. Who knows?
but one way gives our loved ones a sense of closure about the absolute 100% fact that we are dead foreverHow exactly do you measure "a sense of closure"? Seems like lots and lots of people actually want to believe that they will actually see you in heaven, or whatever. Personally I would be more comfortable with being able to think that someone I loved might be resurrected then thinking that they are "gone forever"
I plan to live forever, of course, but barring that I'd settle for a couple thousand years. Even five hundred would be pretty nice.The biggest problem I have with cryonics right now is not one of practicality, it's one of weak vs. strong immortality. What it looks like now, given the amount of damage a brain/body takes when frozen is that the cells will be read and a new platform created. Which means I'm still dead. Something that looks, sounds and acts just like me, with all my memories, etc. is around, but I'm not. No one but me could tell the difference. But in this game, I'm the one that matters.
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posted by homunculus at 5:11 PM on July 11, 2010 [7 favorites]