It's been proven over and over again that people prefer audio-only conversations to video+audio; "videophones" of various stripes have been introduced dozens of times over the last forty years, and they've always been big bombs. Webcams will remain niche toys. At best, a big increase in broadband usage may lead to a certain percentage of consumers emailing "video postcards" to each other occasionally. Other than that, forget it.
As far as online community and the like, video/audio will never be used for anything more than it is now: "Hey look at this Quicktime"-type stuff. Nobody will want to have to watch or listed to people explain their opinions when we can read the opinions ten times faster via text.
(My, that was stream-of-consciousness, wasn't it?)
posted by aaron at 9:52 AM on August 28, 2001
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I just hope that as digital communication progresses, as it has with i-mode phones, that we step back and realize that sending an email isn't always the most effective media. Too often, we ignore the soft costs of both productivity and spirituality associated with firing off a quick email. I just don't see any advancement in technology that can overcome what is something we just have to learn as a society.
posted by machaus at 8:58 PM on August 27, 2001