predicting civil unrest
January 27, 2011 10:01 AM Subscribe
Professors' global model forecasts civil unrest against governments - With protests spreading in the Middle East (now Yemen - not on the list) I thought this article and blog on a forecast model predicting "which countries will likely experience an escalation in domestic political violence [within the next five years]" was rather interesting.
the 'youth bulge' (hehe) - "that an excess in especially young adult male population [who cannot find jobs] predictably leads to social unrest"
The Young and the Restless: Population Age Structure and Civil War - more on "youth bulges"
Civil War: Political Violence and Robust Settlements - game theoretical approaches combined with on the ground field studies to analyze war and conflict
Can Statistics Predict the Outcome of a War? - "A University of Georgia scientist has developed a statistical system that can, she claims, predict the outcome of wars with an accuracy of 80 percent."
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