Activity from anotherpanacea

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Can you wiggle? Can you chomp?
That 3quarksdaily review is great except all the funny things that are wrong: Tweet crowd funded the book "on Facebook" and wrote D&D 3rd edition, a "computer game."

Still, I like that this exists.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 3:53 PM on March 25, 2015

Communicate affordably with imprisoned loved ones
I don't quite get the excitement. All of these services are already available.

The reason this is a good venture capital investment is the same reason these services are so evil, generally: there's a massive profit margin to be made extracting rents from people whose basic rights are abrogated and then sold back to them by private firms.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 8:44 AM on March 25, 2015

No ropeclimbing?
Yeah, I thought about sharing this more widely but a. it looks a little like some of those scenes from Triumph of the Will, and b. I have a hard time believing that those are the only students at La Sierra, so where are the non-white, non-fit kids? Did they get excluded for the film? Or are we supposed to believe that this program turned every male student into that same track star physique?
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 7:39 AM on March 25, 2015

The irrationality of Alcoholics Anonymous
G.O.D. = Group of Drunks

Problem solved.

The fact that Cochrane is probably going to reverse their findings... that's amazingly wonderful news. I deeply love Cochrane work but I've always thought that the quality of the data was insufficient to justify their 12 step study.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 6:13 AM on March 18, 2015
Even if AA can be proven to be effective (and I lean toward the side that it probably can), I see very few attempts to incorporate scientific findings into AA/NA. Even if the basic premise is sound, I find it difficult to endorse any organization that so vehemently considers its practices to be beyond reproach.

All the calls for AA to become more evidence-based strike me as really odd. You might as well go to Metatalk and demand that Metafilter… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 1:24 PM on March 18, 2015
Pardon what must be a reading failure on my part, but that rebuttal piece appears to read like: "Her conclusions are wrong because she used an old study; here is a link to it. Newer studies say the opposite; here are some crickets chirping."

+1 on the fact that the rebuttal article provided no citations." The study is likely to be overturned" is gossip; not science, unless Dr. Kaskutas has actual evidence (in the form of published and
… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 1:43 PM on March 18, 2015
AA's methods can't be analyzed or improved based on empirical results.

What intervention are you calling for, here? What method do you want to see changed in the 12 steps group dynamic, and how?

It's so weird that people keep calling for rationality and empiricism in such a generic way. It's like "evidence" is just your version of "woo." How would you treat alcoholism and addiction, in your world where AA… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 6:35 PM on March 18, 2015
If science tells us that what AA teaches is wrong, and possibly harmful, I'd prefer that AA adjust to the science instead of circling the wagons.

Let me try one more time. You keep saying AA is wrong. What is wrong about it? What should they do differently?

So far, I've seen lots of vague denunciations, but not a single specific methodological change. Notice that to demand a methodological change, you have to know what 12… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 5:26 AM on March 19, 2015
Studies have suggested that AA's insistence on abstinence and its tenet that alcoholics are powerless may lead to increased binge drinking from individuals who attend AA and then relapse. (The study I've seen says that it is worse in AA than in control groups.) I think that AA should investigate that more deeply, and work with doctors and psychologists to ensure that this doesn't happen.

You've only done half of your task. You've described (sort of)… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 6:08 AM on March 19, 2015
From what I can see, an idealized program of treatment might work like this:

Out of a 1000 people, about 300 would have substance abuse problems. (cite)

Out of those 300 people, 160 would respond well to encouragement and short cognitive behavior therapy to moderate their use. (cite)

Out of the 140 remaining people, about 40 would be able to use naltrexone to moderate or cease drinking over a long period. (Cite)… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 7:27 AM on March 19, 2015
Perhaps the single-digit success rate

Umm... try about 50% success rate. Of course, that still leaves half the substance abusing population in need of an effective treatment. And it's clearly wrong to make attendance court enforced. But it's weird to keep pretending that 12 steps groups don't work at all.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 3:00 PM on March 22, 2015
The figure doesn't say that. Not does the article it comes from.

I mean, it's right there. Read it.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 5:08 PM on March 22, 2015

A New Skyscraper on the City Sim Skyline
If I can't build strong towns, I don't wanna play.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 5:55 AM on March 20, 2015

It's not about the food—it's about your surroundings.
The ultimate tension in libertarianism is that free will is overrated. We can talk about incentives and choice under constraint, but these are just ways of pointing out the futility of the freedom libertarianism prefers.

That said: it seems quite possible to agree that soda taxes are elitist and calorie information is ineffectual without adopting libertarianism, so I don't much buy the shade thrown here.

It seems more progressive to contrast… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 7:08 AM on March 16, 2015
Really? What do you think a non-libertarian might say on these topics?
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 10:12 AM on March 16, 2015
For me, personally, being a libertarian is a good reason for me to believe none of what a person thinks or says.

Yes, the logical thing to do when shown to be guilty of motivated skepticism is clearly to double down on it.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 11:16 AM on March 16, 2015
A lot of different kind of people call themselves libertarian. Some are idiots. (Some who call themselves progressives are idiots too.) Some of them do so because they worry about regulatory capture by the industries that they regulate, which seems like kind of a smart reason to worry about regulation.

Libertarians have been criticizing the farm lobby that created the high fructose corn syrup problem for a generation. Libertarians are the ones that pointed out the… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 12:06 PM on March 16, 2015
That's really all anyone asks! Universal discounting of the sort that people have practiced in this thread (and that you articulated so provocatively) basically can't be right, especially with very ideologically diverse groups. But I also think progressives have a lot more in common with libertarians than with Christian dominionists or Republicans or whatever. It makes me sad when I see people gunning for libertarians on issues that ought to be common cause.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 12:33 PM on March 16, 2015

Greece: Phase Two
Is it austerity if you're still living well beyond your means? It seems like Greece wants to default on its loans but then keep getting loans.

I'm all for default, because the creditors have been getting a massive risk premium. But you can't expect to fool people twice. At some point Greece has to start taxing in addition to spending.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 8:56 AM on March 14, 2015

New scrutiny on re-homing of adopted kids
This is outrage filter... And I'm fucking outraged.

What in the actual fuck is going on in people's heads here? And what can we do?

Also: what is the relationship between re-homing and the various Christian dominionist practices of corporal punishment and active resistance to child welfare investigations?
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 8:50 AM on March 9, 2015

A free to play DayZ/Minecraft mashup is Steam's most popular 2014 game
This should be the place where people suggest games. For instance, I avoid Crusader Kings 2 because I'm scared it will eat my soul.

Instead I play Elder Scrolls Online very, very sparingly. :-)
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 7:15 AM on March 9, 2015

"I have to admit I've tasted it from time to time. It tastes terrible."
Isn't all water basically the same age? I mean some is formed through chemical reactions, but most of it just circulates.

I know this is addressed in the link, but I'm not satisfied by the answer.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 8:07 AM on March 5, 2015
BRB, driving to Baltimore. Maryland MeFites, start the bail collection.

I'm hearing meetup!
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 2:16 PM on March 5, 2015

“We aren’t judged by the worst mistake we ever make."
I think it's just the opposite: people with a criminal record are much better off in the job market if they have a degree. Nothing says "reformed" like a BA, and it seems that many employers at that level are much more tolerant, where employers of unskilled labor can afford to discriminate.

(Full disclosure: I run a college program in a prison.)
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 5:29 PM on March 2, 2015

When the Sun Briefly Turns Off the Power
Cool story.

I can't help thinking that they should just take a vacation day. Power the hospitals and other crisis centers and tell everybody else to expect a brownout and spend the day goofing off.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 11:04 AM on February 28, 2015
-This thing may have a problem.

-No it won't. You just hate thing.

-Actually, I love this thing which is why I work on thing for a living. And why I'm prepare to deal with the problem, so don't worry.

-So you're getting paid! You made up the problem for money!

-I'm not actually going to get paid more for solving the problem with the thing.

-See! There is no problem with… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 2:20 PM on February 28, 2015

Hangover Producer Seeks to Repay His Debt to Society
It is *also* true that civilians entering a prison are treated arbitrarily and capriciously, often especially if they're there to help. There are many rules, often with weak or contradictory justifications, and they are randomly enforced.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 4:19 AM on February 28, 2015

“Humans are the dominant race of Thedas,”
I find the question of race in fantasy pretty interesting, especially with regards to the "racist murder hobos" conventions of killing all the subhumans, so I want to like this.

But it seems to me that metaphors gonna metaphor: if you want to map white supremacy onto the racial subjugation of elves by humans, you can't also have humans be "chromatically" divided and hierarchized without ruining the metaphorical work that species is doing in your… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 1:53 PM on February 27, 2015

You shall not crucify mankind upon a cross of 2% annual CPI growth
Thanks for this. I've been following Sumner for a while, and like his work a lot. My sense is that NGDP targeting is much more attractive to internet kooks like us than to central banks, though I don't know exactly why. Certainly its the case that as a nerd on the internet if I see a cool, halfway plausible idea I'll be tempted by it, and the massive, boring macro-econ required to understand why that cool idea wouldn't really work are beyond me.

This is precisely what I… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 8:37 PM on February 24, 2015
What was the reason in 2008?

My sense is that the Federal Reserve didn't know what to do: perhaps NGPD targets would have worked (Bernanke had published theoretical work in this direction) but the FOMC didn't (and don't) have their ducks in a row for it. Bernanke called for and expected Congress to respond, repeatedly telling them that tight federal fiscal policy (that is, too low spending, not running high enough deficits) was exacerbating the crisis and slowing the recovery.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 9:24 PM on February 24, 2015
are you saying that inflation may be positive here because it reduces the real value of savings, thus making it more attractive to use that money to employ people? If so, is there good evidence that the vessels most capital is held in are actually fixed to nominal value, because that seems suspect to me.

I think the first is a standard assumption in this kind of work: it's the paradox of thrift idea that drives most progressive macro theory. But I do… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 6:05 AM on February 25, 2015
Fiscal policy affects aggregate demand, either directly (by purchasing stuff and hiring people) or indirectly (giving loans or tax breaks to households and firms to do the same)

But the Fed moves last, so anything Congress does will just reduce the Feds' willingness to boost inflation, and aggregate demand will fall back to where it was previously.

Notice that right now we have a 2% inflation target, but it's not a level… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 7:15 AM on February 25, 2015
I agree with everything you say here. But I'm not sure how it responds to the point that fiscal policy can't trump Fed policy.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 9:42 AM on February 25, 2015
Thanks! That makes a lot more sense.

I think my concern is: the Fed will choke off (fiscal policy-led) growth because it has the wrong idea about how macro policy should work.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 10:16 AM on February 26, 2015

ALIGNMENT: Beyond good and evil
This will go perfectly with my Monster of the Week campaign.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 7:43 AM on February 23, 2015

Superfish superinsecure!
I have a recent Lenovo (a T440s) and it's clean. No Superfish.

What's more, it's literally the best laptop I've ever owned. I look at other people's laptops and feel guilty. It's like in my invisible backpack, it's so good: I've got laptop privilege and no one even knows.

Basically, this seems like a terrible decision, and I'm outraged, but I'm also typing my outrage on a Lenovo laptop that puts the MacBook Air to shame, so I can't get that outraged.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 12:29 PM on February 19, 2015

Junction Gate
How come I can't explore or mine the Saladin System?
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 4:52 AM on February 12, 2015
Also: in general if you let the other factions get ahead of you, all the systems within 2 LY are colonized and then there's no way to get more He3.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 4:52 AM on February 12, 2015
Is there a rough guide to the trade ratios? I'm getting like 10:1 for ore to He3.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 7:50 AM on February 15, 2015

Understanding Chad's intervention in Nigeria
I liked this and shared it on Facebook. My African peacekeeping friends responded immediately:
Soo... the great mystery is that a state ruler might want to help quash an insurgency that could spill over into his country?

NEXT: WHY IS PAKISTAN SO INTERESTED IN AFGHANISTAN?? WHO CAN READ THE INSCRUTABLE MIND OF THE EASTERNER?
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 7:35 AM on February 15, 2015

I can’t have you smart folk mucking up progress with your silly dystopia
When you look at the places most invested in autonomous vehicles, it's small, contained nations like Israel or now Britain. And that's no accident: their small size means they have a different set of needs. But I can well imagine that NYC taxi medallion owners (who aren't actually driving the cars most of the time, after all) would actually set the stage for a similar takeover in Manhattan. What better way to maximize their investment? (Taxi medallion have gone for a million bucks.) Now, I see a… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 4:33 AM on February 13, 2015

"more paperwork, phone-trees and red-tape than ever"
Kind of loving Metafilter's response to this. A lot of people are talking good sense in this thread. Basically any time you read something by Graeber you can be sure that James C. Scott wrote about it first and better.

Count me as someone who is deeply suspicious of bureaucracy and the growth of administrative middle-management, especially in my workplace, while also benefiting from it a lot personally and without any sense of what might be better.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 12:00 PM on February 10, 2015
Frankly, I think this is one of the more important problems of modern political theory, and my sense of the evidence is that it's tempting but wrong to believe that *most* bureaucracy in unproductive. Pointing to mismanaged bureaucracy as evidence of an inherent flaw in bureaucracy is pretty obvious hasty generalization.

Max Weber, here, is illuminating: often when I am trying to explain problems in the modern political landscape or my own approach to political… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 7:05 AM on February 11, 2015
It should also be mentioned that bureaucracy may be the main form of productivity economic growth. If you look at Solow and economic growth models, there's this mysterious variable he calls "Total Factor Productivity." So you can get more labor (by employing more people or making the ones you already employ work longer and harder) or you can get more capital goods (more machines, faster machines, etc.) but this doesn't make sense of what we see across developing nations unless you can… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 8:30 AM on February 11, 2015

"We are a marketing team with very limited hardware experience."
I have always been satisfied by my crowdfunding investments, and that itself is part of the problem. At some point, we need to get comfortable with the idea that a lot of ideas fail!

Somebody, somewhere has to be willing to take a chance on new ideas. It can't all be reality tv shows and people who are willing to live in group homes in Northern California. It can't all be Google.

"Shine on you crazy diamond" is a tribute. It's a… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 11:09 AM on February 9, 2015
Saying "shine on you crazy diamond!" to every single crazy diamond out there is a way to generate ideas that are born dead, like lottery tickets bearing numbers that aren't in the draw. Although it would be great if crazy diamonds all had deep insight into the structures of institutions and the physical properties of objects, on the whole most crazy diamonds are instead in denial about some constraint or other imposed by all the other actants who participate in the making of… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 1:50 PM on February 9, 2015

Tech Behind Bars: Inside the prison system’s illicit digital world
Thanks, these are great!

The prison library clerk I worked with had a weird mania for PowerPoint. He was one of a very few prisoners who could make good slides, because he was one of very few who got to mess around with the old computers they had. I could never persuade him that PP was universally despised out here in the world.

Now that our program is up and running, there are a group of clerks who run the database and they regularly impress me.… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 5:04 AM on February 9, 2015

Social Identity Threat Motivates Science-Discrediting Online Comments
It seems like the researchers, who strongly identify with their identities as scientists, have created this online community-discrediting article to protect their group from the threat of doubting comments.
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 3:09 PM on February 7, 2015
I literally cannot tell who is fucking around in this thread.

I was fucking around. I do some work in the broader cultural cognition world and so I'm not at all surprised by the evidence of identity-protective cognition but I am pretty cynical about the attempts to operationalize it.

Here's what's uncontroversial: motivated skepticism seems to come up for most people when their identities are threatened. That means if you… [more]
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 6:32 AM on February 8, 2015

DC: The New 49
I haven't read the link, but I figure they must be bringing back Vertigo in a big way because why would they bother announcing everything else?!? I'm so excited!
posted to MetaFilter by anotherpanacea at 12:13 PM on February 7, 2015

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