A conversation about the future
is a 1 hr. 15 min. Time magazine podcast (mp3 file) of a panel discussion, featuring Internet entrepreneur Mark Cuban, LA Times op-ed editor Andres Martinez, author Steven Johnson ("Everything Bad Is Good for You") and magazine writer Caitlin Flanagan.
posted by edlundart
on Mar 23, 2006 -
Experts can suck at predicting the future.
Their intuitive sense of probability is no more developed than lay-people's. A classic experiment is to present two indistinguishable choices are presented, but with unequal probability of reward. Humans look for complex patterns, which don't exist, and preform quite poorly. Rats quickly recognize the choice with higher probability, and preform optimally.
posted by jeffburdges
on Dec 11, 2005 -
Future Magazine covers:
A bit self-aggrandizing in a subtile way. However I found the future mag covers engaging enough in a "lite" sort of way. (click on: "See covers from the future" option)(via)
posted by edgeways
on Dec 3, 2005 -
is a global youth arts initiative (under 25s) that develops and profiles artists and their work across television, radio, in print and online. Requires Flash. [MI]
posted by sjvilla79
on Nov 15, 2005 -
Gone by 2040:
Religious Hierarchy, Japan's Passivity, The Chinese Communist Party, Auto Emissions, Monogamy, The Euro, The War on Drugs, Sovereignty... To mark their 35th year in publication Foreign Policy magazine asks 16 influential thinkers which ideas, values, or institutions will be gone by the year 2040. Also discussed on NPR radio
posted by StarForce5
on Oct 13, 2005 -
Obituaries of the Future
An example: June 5, 2019. Bush – George W. (72), the 43rd president of the United States, was struck down “in action” early yesterday morning from injuries sustained during a failed one-man invasion of Mexico. Write your own!
posted by jdroth
on Jul 6, 2005 -
Review of "A Possible Declining Trend for Worldwide Innovation,"
by Jonathan Huebner, who says the rate of human innovation has been steadily declining since the industrial revolution, and is headed toward an "economic limit" of very low apparent innovation that will be reached circa 2038. As one potential explanation, we must consider the possibility that human-initiated innovation, like energy consumption and population growth, is a process that naturally saturates with rising global income levels and technological intelligence--as technological progress increasingly satisfies current human needs, individuals become less concerned with technological development and turn more toward personal growth. More articles from Acceleration Watch
posted by stbalbach
on Jun 2, 2005 -
What Comes Next?
Big scientists answer some big questions: apparently Elvis may still be alive in a parallel universe.
posted by Holly
on Feb 10, 2005 -
Life in the future.
In the year 2,000 "everything will be so easy that people will probably die from sheer boredom." Workweeks will be 24 hours and the home computer will be the new status symbol.
posted by caddis
on Jan 12, 2005 -
Imagining the Internet.
What will become of the internet? And how far off have prognosticators been about it thus far? Submit your own predictions, if you dare.
posted by rushmc
on Jan 10, 2005 -
Federally Funded Science Fiction.
The CIA announced today that next month's final report on Iraq's weapons program under Saddam Hussein will mostly encompass an analysis of what they believe Iraq would be like through 2008 had Bush not invaded the country. Because when you want accurate, detailed analysis of the future of Iraq's weapons, you turn to the group that got it completely wrong
during the present.
posted by XQUZYPHYR
on Aug 20, 2004 -
It's Official - the future sucks. Why has the future been such a let down? It's more 1984 than Barbarella. If we can have ID cards and video surveillance, then why can't we have intergalactic flying cars and hot chicks in skimpy plastic outfits? Clearly I'm not the only one wondering where all the cool stuff went - check out RetroFuture
posted by dodgygeezer
on Jun 18, 2004 -
If the current millennium has got you down, relax and think ahead to the year 3000
"Most of us don't know what we'll be doing a year from now; why then should we care about what our descendents will be doing a thousand years from now? It's fun to speculate, sure; but envisioning the year 3000 may be more than an idle exercise or mere amusement."
[via Reality Carinval
posted by moonbird
on Apr 8, 2004 -
Buy His Future
$59,965.90 owed, $245.75 donated.
"In exchange for your donation, I will from time to time write to you about what I've done with the life you've made possible.
Make a gift, and free me to do good things with my life for this world."
It struck me as funny: have we come to a point in society where a man's future is worth the amount of his student loans?
posted by cjoh
on Mar 22, 2004 -
"The newspapers of the twenty-first century will give a mere "stick" in the back pages to accounts of crime or political controversies, but will headline on the front pages the proclamation of a new scientific hypothesis."
From an interview
with Nikolai Tesla in 1937 about the now near future...
posted by Aleph Yin
on Nov 29, 2003 -
reckons that by 2029 no computer - or "machine intelligence" - will have passed the Turing Test. If he's right, the EFF wins $20,000 on a bet.
In the well designed and conceptualised Long Bets
website , other participants in the Predictions game: Dave Winer
, Esther Dyson
, Vint Cerf
and Ted Danson!
All predictions here
; All bets
- discussions so far here.
Any Mefites willing to stake their rep on cherished beliefs? What do you want to publicly predict will - or will not - happen, and by when?
posted by dash_slot-
on Jun 24, 2003 -
Evolution is a process
that hasn't stopped just because humans now rule the planet. What will animals look like in 200,000 years? The Discovery Channel's Animal Planet
asks experts to predict the future of life on Earth.
posted by hipnerd
on Dec 31, 2002 -
"More than we can bear."
The impact of the AIDS pandemic over the next 100 years may have effects even more far-reaching than many of us have considered. Joseph Riverson has some thoughts on what it will take to prevent a "Black Death" reality.
posted by litlnemo
on Dec 1, 2002 -
Reading the 9th Prophecy of the American Hopi Indians has sent a chill in my spine!
Some interpretations I have read say that this prophecy is an interpretation of Nasa's Skylab falling back to Earth circa 1979. However when I read this prophecy a few months ago the crash of the World Trade Center immediately popped into my mind! The Hopi's 9th prophecy states "You will hear of a dwelling-place in the heavens, above the earth, that shall fall with a great crash! It will appear as a blue star." "These are the Signs that great destruction is here: The world shall rock to and fro. The white man will battle people in other lands - those who possessed the first light of wisdom. " Is this not our time?
posted by thedailygrowl
on Nov 10, 2002 -
Alternate universes may exist besides our own in some ghostly manner. Various science-fiction series explore parallel universes
, but what do serious physicists think? Hugh Everett III's doctoral thesis outlines a controversial theory in which the universe at every instant branches into countless parallel worlds
. Physicist Andrei Linde's theory of self-reproducing universes
implies that new universes are being created all the time through a budding process. Stephen Hawking's quantum cosmology
also suggests the possibility of other universes connected by wormholes. Some scientists feel that the famous photon double slit experiments
proves the existence of parallel universes in which a photon from one universe interacts with a photon from another. Black hole theory suggests that black holes may be portals to parallel universes
Science-fiction stories about parallel universes always delight the mind. Two of my favorite SF novels on parallel universes are Heinlein's Job
and Number of the Beast
. Several others intrigue me, such as The Neoreality Series
, and Parallelities
. Science books on the subject include a famous book
by David Deutsch.
Do you have any favorite books on parallel universes or parallel realities, fiction or nonfiction?
What do you think? No doubt, scientists and science-fiction authors
will continue to explore the concept in the decades to come.
posted by Morphic
on Oct 21, 2002 -
Robots vs. bunnies!
Dust bunnies, that is. Roboticist Rodney Brooks
, who you should know because you should have seen Fast, Cheap and Out of Control
, co-founded iRobot
, which is releasing its first consumer model this week: Roomba
, the vacuuming robot. Even once you've seen it in action (which, of course, I haven't), it's probably not going to convince that the future has arrived or get you thinking about the moral rights of robots
, but every consumer tech movement has its watershed, and maybe this will turn out to have been a Big Step for getting robots in our daily lives. The author notes that iRobot "hopes that one day Roomba will do for vacuuming what dishwashers did for dishwashing."
posted by blueshammer
on Sep 16, 2002 -