25 posts tagged with electoralcollege.
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the tenuous blue wall

"There’s no question that recent demographic trends have aided Democrats enormously. In 1980, Ronald Reagan won 56 percent of all white voters and won election in a 44-state landslide. In 2012, GOP nominee Mitt Romney carried 59 percent of all white voters yet lost decisively. What happened? African-Americans, Latinos, Asians and other non-whites — all overwhelmingly Democratic-leaning groups — rose from 12 percent of voters in 1980 to 28 percent in 2012.

It’s true that if every demographic group were to carry its 2012 levels of turnout and party support into 2016, Democrats’ lead in the national popular vote would expand from 3.9 percentage points to 5.1 points based on population trends alone. But, as FiveThirtyEight editor-in-chief Nate Silver and others have argued, Democrats’ advantage in the Electoral College is much more tenuous than it’s often portrayed
." Run your own simulation with 538's Swing Tracker.
posted by Potomac Avenue on Dec 4, 2015 - 34 comments

New York joins the National Popular Vote

The US is a little closer to a popular vote for president. Governor Cuomo added New York State to the National Popular Vote interstate compact. [more inside]
posted by So You're Saying These Are Pants? on Apr 18, 2014 - 61 comments

"Used to be that the idea was 'once every two years voters elected their representatives.' And now instead it's 'every ten years the representatives choose their constituents.'"

Obama won Ohio by two points, and Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown won by five, but Democrats emerged with just four of Ohio’s 16 House seats. In Wisconsin, Obama prevailed by seven points, and Democratic Senate candidate Tammy Baldwin by five, but their party finished with just three of the state’s eight House seats. In Virginia, Obama and Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Tim Kaine were clear victors, but Democrats won just three of the commonwealth’s 11 House seats. In Florida, Obama eked out a victory and Democratic Sen. Bill Nelson won by 13 points, but Democrats will hold only 10 of the Sunshine State’s 27 House seats. The Revenge of 2010: How gerrymandering saved the congressional Republican majority, undermined Obama's mandate, set the terms of the sequestration fight, and locked Democrats out of the House for the next decade. It's not a new problem. But if the Supreme Court guts the Voting Rights Act, it could get a whole lot worse. And the electoral college may be next. (What's gerrymandering, you ask? Let the animals explain. Meet the Gerry-mander. Peruse the abused. Catch the movie. Or just play the game. Previously.)
posted by Rhaomi on Nov 14, 2012 - 137 comments

United States of Clusterfuck

What if the Presidential election is a tie?
posted by desjardins on Oct 10, 2012 - 65 comments

in such manner as the legislature thereof may direct

"Change Proposed for State's Electoral Vote Process." Gov. Tom Corbett and state Senate Majority Leader Dominic Pileggi are proposing that Pennsylvania divide up its Electoral College votes according to which candidates carried each Congressional district, plus two votes for the statewide winner. Talking Points Memo says that under the proposed plan Obama would have received only 11 of the state's 20 electors in 2008; Dave Weigel and Nick Baumann say gerrymandering could mean that in 2012 Obama could actually wind up with a minority of the state's electors even if he carries the state. GOP-led legislatures in other states, such as Wisconsin and Michigan, could make similar moves. But could this be a bridge too far for some members of the state's GOP caucus? [more inside]
posted by gerryblog on Sep 14, 2011 - 128 comments

50 Equal Sized States

A proposal to redraw state lines so that there are 50 states with approximately equal population.
posted by Chocolate Pickle on Jan 31, 2010 - 143 comments

The American way

State by state electoral college analysis and predictions for the main 2008 presidential candidates, based on polling data and updated daily. [more inside]
posted by Brian B. on May 29, 2008 - 106 comments

Maryland joins the ranks of states attempting to thwart the electoral college.

Maryland joins the ranks of states attempting to thwart the electoral college. Maryland's General Assembly approved a bill [PDF] to ignore the U.S. Electoral College [official website] in presidential elections, instead awarding the state's 10 electoral votes to the winner of the national popular vote. [via | previously on MeFi | more inside]
posted by terrapin on Mar 30, 2007 - 71 comments

A backdoor plan to thwart the electoral college

A backdoor plan to thwart the electoral college Some states try to ensure that the winner of popular vote becomes president
posted by Postroad on Jun 24, 2006 - 114 comments

Particular voting

Counting the Real People’s Vote. A motion for the electoral college, a separation of voters into "real people" and the "secular urban base."
posted by four panels on Oct 27, 2004 - 43 comments

Even when it looks like it's over, it's not.

Even when it looks like it's over, it's not. Thanks to the electoral college system, we still won't know for sure until next week. The funny thing about this group who's trying to get Bush electors to switch their votes is that they don't even like or support Gore. They're just against the electoral system.
posted by karmasalad on Dec 15, 2000 - 0 comments

More Fun With the Electoral College!

More Fun With the Electoral College! What's most disturbing isn't that it may be weeks or months before we actually know who won the election. I mean who cares? Neither of these guys represent you. They both suck. The disturbing part is that it is actually possible the voices of hundreds of thousands of Florida voters might not be heard at all!
posted by ZachsMind on Nov 16, 2000 - 14 comments

This map, sized based on electoral proportions

This map, sized based on electoral proportions makes a lot more sense than the standard state-by-state or county-by-county one (that last one was marked up by peterme).
posted by mathowie on Nov 13, 2000 - 15 comments

ELECTION RELIEF: Now you, too, can attend Electoral College.

ELECTION RELIEF: Now you, too, can attend Electoral College.
posted by baylink on Nov 13, 2000 - 0 comments

It turns out before the election, representatives introduced a bi-partisan bill in both the House (H.J. Res. 113) and the Senate (S.J. Res. 56) to amend the Constitution to replace the electoral college with the direct election of the President and Vice President. Contact your reps to ask them to support the bills. If we're going to get electoral reform, it will be now.
posted by veruca on Nov 12, 2000 - 17 comments

Math Against Tyranny...

Math Against Tyranny... A mathmatician discusses the virtues of the Electoral College.
posted by silusGROK on Nov 10, 2000 - 8 comments

The last time Electoral Votes were disputed

The last time Electoral Votes were disputed was in 1876, with the Florida votes being handed over to Rutherford B. Hayes, who had lost the popular vote. But the real story was that the Democrats gave in order to clinch a secret deal to end Reconstruction, paving the way for 90 years of Jim Crow...
posted by MattD on Nov 9, 2000 - 0 comments

Protest the electoral college -

Protest the electoral college - George W. Bush must be stopped! I'm going to go to the Philadelphia protest waving a sign that reads "The President Elect Can't Read!" I encourage you to go to your local city and express your dissent.
posted by ignu on Nov 8, 2000 - 20 comments

Confused about the electoral college? This may help you sort it out.
posted by jeremy on Nov 8, 2000 - 1 comment

US Votes Republican -- except for all the people.

US Votes Republican -- except for all the people. Anyone still need an explanation of the Electoral College?
posted by baylink on Nov 8, 2000 - 51 comments

The Unfaithful Electors

The Unfaithful Electors can hand the election to the candidate you didn't chose. 318 Electoral Votes are not legaly bound to go to the particular state's popular vote winner. More Electoral College tidbits at the Electoral College Web Zine.
posted by tamim on Nov 7, 2000 - 19 comments

Election Dance!

Election Dance! The Electoral College meets the Hamster Dance. Look at those swing states bounce to and fro!
posted by youhas on Nov 5, 2000 - 11 comments

Win the popular vote, lose the election?

Win the popular vote, lose the election? Talk about your constitutional crisis...
posted by owillis on Oct 24, 2000 - 3 comments

A better discussion of the Electoral College

A better discussion of the Electoral College and the possible outcome this November. Not better because Bush is seen as ahead (I'm voting for Nader), but better because it seems to acknowledge the vagaries of making such predictions.
posted by silusGROK on Sep 7, 2000 - 5 comments

Presidential election projection, based on likely Electoral College votes.

Presidential election projection, based on likely Electoral College votes. Which is the right way to do it, after all. The guy running the page is the editor of Web, White, & Blue, an online digest of political news from around the Web. Seems very even handed. The projections come from state-by-state polling data, and change as new polls come in. Current leader: Gore, by 34 out of 535 votes.
posted by aurelian on Sep 7, 2000 - 3 comments

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