2012: The year in graphs
- as picked by the Washington Post Wonkblog's favorite economists, political scientist, politicians and other wonkys.
A Vast Left-Wing Competency
: "How Democrats became the party of effective campaigning — and why the GOP isn’t catching up anytime soon." Sasha Issenberg, author of The Victory Lab
, has been writing a series of posts on Slate that focus on different aspects of "the new science of winning campaigns". [more inside]
Although much has been said
about the demographic composition of the United States Congress, much less has been said about the thousands of staffers who work behind the scenes, drafting legislation, interacting with constituents, and advising their congressperson. The National Journal has created two infographics
that attempt to describe this silent, but influential workforce.
Last week during the Senate budget negotiations, Sen. Jon Kyl (R-Ariz.)
, gave a speech that included the following statement: "If you want an abortion, you go to Planned Parenthood, and that’s well over 90 percent of what Planned Parenthood does.
" That statement is drastically different from the statistics reported by Planned Parenthood
, which list 90 percent of its services as preventive in nature, compared with 3 percent that are abortion-related. When asked about this apparent discrepancy, Jon Kyl's office replied that "his remark was not intended to be a factual statement
." And that is when things got noisy. [more inside]
Professors' global model forecasts civil unrest against governments
- With protests spreading
in the Middle East
- not on the list) I thought this article
on a forecast model
predicting "which countries
will likely experience an escalation in domestic political violence [within the next five years]" was rather interesting. [more inside]
FiveThirtyEight.com is no more! Long Live Five Thirty Eight!
Independent political statistics blog FiveThirtyEight.com
has been absorbed by the New York Times
. Nate Silver
, the stats genius, baseball freak
and predictor of 49 of 50 states in the last presidential election began his blog on DailyKos
. As of this morning, the blog has moved
to the New York Times. [more inside]
For the past year and a half, Daily Kos
has been running weekly polls from the respected polling firm, Research 2000.
Earlier this month, former Daily Kos diarist
Nate Silver of Five Thirty Eight published a rating of pollsters
that placed R2k near the bottom, leading Markos to fire R2K
Today, Markos alleges that R2K committed fraud
, publishing a study of their results
by independent statisticians. He promises to sue
Veronique de Rugy, NRO contributor and George Mason fellow, says her research
indicates that stimulus funding was disproportionately directed towards Democratic congressional districts. Nate Silver begs
to disagree. De Rugy responds here
; Silver responds here
. Others say that this is a model "for the quick, effective peer-review that the internet facilitates." Perhaps this is a new model
for peer review?
Special 3-page edition of Harper’s Index: A retrospective of the Bush era
Who is funding a candidate and for how much.
You can search by name or zip code to find out. Here
is a link to prominent pittsburgh people that have contributed.
The guys who brought you the timeline of terror alerts
have been at it again. This time they made a chart comparing Bush's approval rating
and the terror alerts. It's getting harder to believe this isn't s big slight of hand going on. Follow the ! icons and the thin red line.
An amazing resource that displays all sorts of comparative national statistics on practically everything, and with an option of selecting any region / list of countries you choose. It plugs itself as "The world's biggest general stat site" (which might or might not be true I don't know), and it has a wealth of data on economics, sports, population, geography and a dozen more categories.
Some interesting statistics; Top 100 in Olympic medals per Capita
. Top 100 Murders with firearms (per capita)
. Top 100 Military Expenditures as a percent of GDP
. Top 100 Net migration rate
A heaven for data freaks.
At $92.60 a Vote, Bloomberg Shatters an Election Record.
Ross Perot spent about $3.59 per vote in his 1992 presidential race. The $68,968,185 price tag was more than Forbes and Corzine spent on their 2000 campaigns. Do candidates that essentially buy their elections gross you out, or do you feel better knowing that their money didn't come from PACs?
75% of Americans
favor Government funding of faith-based organizations. However, when asked about specific faiths
, that number drops dramatically to 38% for Buddhist Temples and 29% for the Nation of Islam. So what did they expect, their own religion should get funds, but no others?
US Census not to be adjusted for undercounts.
(NY Times, req'd registration)
Many political strategists, Democrats and Republicans alike, say that reliance on unadjusted population figures favors Republicans in the drawing of Congressional districts, since, they say, adjustment through statistical sampling would add to customarily Democratic neighborhoods most of those who have been uncounted.
They visited my home/office four times and never once brought the Long Form. Damnation.
Statistical Dead Heat May Result in Ping Pong Match Tie-Breaker
So says Ken Layne in his tale of obscure lore and presidential politics.