No Mortgage, Underwater Anyway
March 19, 2012 6:53 PM   Subscribe

Live in America? Find out if your house will be underwater in 2100 and plan your sandbag purchasing well in advance.
posted by stavrosthewonderchicken (46 comments total) 5 users marked this as a favorite
 
Oh I just use Zillow for that.
posted by condour75 at 6:53 PM on March 19, 2012 [14 favorites]


Meh, my place will be fine. Being pretty much as far away from a coast as one can get in Florida has it's advantages!
posted by oddman at 6:56 PM on March 19, 2012


If the sea level rises 10' my apartment will be right on the bay. But I'll be dead in 2100.
posted by birdherder at 6:57 PM on March 19, 2012


I imagine that if I'm alive in 2100 I will either be too busy uploading my consciousness to a new spaceclone or subsisting on the blood of innocents to worry about this.
posted by elizardbits at 6:57 PM on March 19, 2012 [20 favorites]


Phew! All of Canada is safe!
posted by synecdoche at 7:01 PM on March 19, 2012 [10 favorites]


So I guess Utah has that going for it then. Right?
posted by msbutah at 7:02 PM on March 19, 2012 [2 favorites]


....I'll be damned. I live 4 blocks away from a former Navy Yard, and yet I would survive even a 10-foot storm surge, according to that map.
posted by EmpressCallipygos at 7:02 PM on March 19, 2012


I'll be 129 years old then. I imagine that if I'm around then, I'll be most concerned with keeping those damn kids off my beach.
posted by deadmessenger at 7:05 PM on March 19, 2012 [2 favorites]


From this site I learned that the impacts of global warming are going to be negligible and far in the future. Thanks you activists for letting me crosss that of my list of key concerns.
posted by humanfont at 7:11 PM on March 19, 2012 [9 favorites]


The projections for New Orleans really don't make any sense; the app doesn't seem to understand the whole levee/seawall thing.
posted by localroger at 7:12 PM on March 19, 2012 [2 favorites]




This has been done before, and IMO much better (previously here) since that site covered ALL the coastlines and not just major cities.
posted by oneswellfoop at 7:14 PM on March 19, 2012 [6 favorites]


Holy moly! I'd have a view over San Diego's Tecolote Lagoon! Awesome!

(On the other hand, I'll be 150 years old. Woohoo... I guess. Hey! All you kids! Get off my dock!)
posted by SPrintF at 7:15 PM on March 19, 2012


Nope! Although they'd better move Candlestick and PacBell (whatever it's called now) if we want to keep watching football and baseball. Priorities, people!
posted by rtha at 7:24 PM on March 19, 2012


I live in the middle of North America. If the sea rises to my level, we're all living in Waterworld.
posted by ZeusHumms at 7:28 PM on March 19, 2012


This has been done before -- So it looks like the sea levels will have to rise 20 meters before my house gets wiped out, but that would also take out all of the Del Marva peninsula, the southern shore of Long Island, all of Cape Cod, and everything south of Lake Okeechobee in Florida, not to mention half of London, and most of Tokyo.
posted by crunchland at 7:28 PM on March 19, 2012


It's as if no one has ever heard of the Netherlands.
posted by Cool Papa Bell at 7:30 PM on March 19, 2012 [1 favorite]


Hey, so water levels rise 60 meters. Clearly, worldwide disaster, but what the heck is going on with South Carolina and northern Florida?
posted by crunchland at 7:38 PM on March 19, 2012 [1 favorite]


oneswellfoop: "This has been done before, and IMO much better (previously here) since that site covered ALL the coastlines and not just major cities."

Hmmm, they don't seem to match for my locale (Long Beach, CA). This Surging Seas one shows a large neighborhood underwater (Naples) at +4t but the one oneswellfoop linked to shows Naples a-ok at the roughly equivalent 1-2 meter range.
posted by Defenestrator at 7:45 PM on March 19, 2012


but what the heck is going on with South Carolina and northern Florida?

Oh, you never heard of the Army Corps of Engineers rhombi of refuge?
posted by eddydamascene at 7:53 PM on March 19, 2012 [3 favorites]


Cool Papa Bell: "It's as if no one has ever heard of the Netherlands."

Yea, like the US could ever get it's act together to build sea walls in time. It would require raising taxes so no one would support it and The Statue of Liberty could be knee deep in waves and half the country would still insist that global warming is a librul conspiracy.
posted by octothorpe at 7:54 PM on March 19, 2012 [13 favorites]


I live in the middle of North America. If the sea rises to my level, we're all living in Waterworld.

Been there, done that!
posted by rtha at 8:12 PM on March 19, 2012


California beach towns: Who wins*, who loses as sea levels rise

*winning is defined as taking money from other cities with narrow beaches (EAT IT LAGUNA) and ignores the much larger aggregate cost of keeping pace with rising sea levels or disaster recovery from severe storms, so yeah, #winning
posted by eddydamascene at 8:13 PM on March 19, 2012


Amazing - According to the conditions set in crunchland's link (and completely unrelated to the two areas he references), my current house would literally be riverfront property. Gosh, what a relief that is! Now I can relax and give a big finger to Global Warming.
posted by Greg_Ace at 8:23 PM on March 19, 2012


This has been done before

It's kind of neat that at +60m, more or less all that's left of Manhattan is a little island with the Museum of Modern Art and Grand Central Terminal perched on it.
posted by adamdschneider at 8:29 PM on March 19, 2012


There will also be at least one hot dog vender and one drunk hobo. We have zoning laws about that kind of thing here.
posted by elizardbits at 8:31 PM on March 19, 2012 [1 favorite]




I'm gonna miss Tillamook. At least they can all move uphill to Idiotville.
posted by wallabear at 8:43 PM on March 19, 2012


Contour of Honolulu's new coastline at the +1m mark.

Global sea level rise over the past 2 decades has averaged just over 3 mm/ year.
posted by kanuck at 9:13 PM on March 19, 2012


Should I live far longer than I wish, the sea will not take me.
posted by planet at 9:14 PM on March 19, 2012


Yea, like the US could ever get it's act together to build sea walls in time.

I'm petitioning NYC to beg the Netherlands to take us back.
posted by The Whelk at 9:34 PM on March 19, 2012 [1 favorite]


I do think the text of this post kinda provides the opposite feeling as it ought to. That is to say, I went to the link, cranked the sea levels up to 10, saw that my house was still standing, and lit a pile of tires on fire, 'cause fuck it, I'll still be dry.
posted by maryr at 9:36 PM on March 19, 2012 [1 favorite]


I went to the link, cranked the sea levels up to 10, saw that my house was still standing, and lit a pile of tires on fire, 'cause fuck it, I'll still be dry.

You're sure it's not maryr Inc.?
posted by wallabear at 10:00 PM on March 19, 2012 [1 favorite]


Los Angeles holds up pretty well at 10 feet. So bring it, suckers.
posted by Justinian at 11:30 PM on March 19, 2012


I didn't check the map. I assume 6600 feet is high enough? I'm sorry, I should probably just RTFA.
posted by Phantomx at 12:06 AM on March 20, 2012


Sadly looks like my old hometown will not sink under the sea. /Pout
posted by Skygazer at 1:26 AM on March 20, 2012


I live in the middle of North America. If the sea rises to my level, we're all living in Waterworld.

Could be worse. Living in Waterworld is better than sitting through the movie.
posted by i_have_a_computer at 3:22 AM on March 20, 2012 [1 favorite]


I can't get the linked map to get past 10m and 2040. The "done better" link in the comments says sea levels would have to rise more than 30m before I could have beachfront at my house.
posted by Kirth Gerson at 3:38 AM on March 20, 2012


Also, a big section of The Lake in Central Park will remain above water.

I do not think a lake can be above water, unless it's a dry lake, and those aren't usually at the seashore.
posted by Kirth Gerson at 3:40 AM on March 20, 2012


I live in Amarillo TX, elevation 3,605 feet. I'm worried about climate change and rising sea levels, but not for me personally.
posted by sotonohito at 6:11 AM on March 20, 2012



Oh yes, my house in Atlanta is totally underwater. So very, very underwater.
posted by Ruthless Bunny at 6:31 AM on March 20, 2012 [1 favorite]


This site seems to miss the point that it's not just the rise in mean high water level we have to worry about--it's greatly increased storm surges and other such catastrophic events. In other words, you're not just adding more water to a static bucket--you're then sloshing that bucket around--the fuller it is, the further, and more powerfully, it sloshes. They should do a map not just of "where the water will be at the new mean high tide" but a map of "where it will no longer be safe to build a house"--which would, I imagine, be far more dramatic.
posted by yoink at 9:27 AM on March 20, 2012 [2 favorites]


octothorpe: "half the country would still insist that global warming is a librul conspiracy."

Of course the ignorant fucks are being the ignorant fucks they always are, but it doesn't help when the guy who brought climate change to the mainstream claimed on his magnum opus that sea levels would rise 20ft "in the near future".

We're now talking 2ft in the next 100 years.

So yeah, I kinda give these ignorant fucks who think it's all a liberal conspiracy a break, because for a while there it walked like a duck and quacked like a duck.
posted by falameufilho at 11:10 AM on March 20, 2012


yoink: "This site seems to miss the point that it's not just the rise in mean high water level we have to worry about--it's greatly increased storm surges and other such catastrophic events."

I think that's why it accounts for a possible 10ft. surge. The worst case scenario has the water level rising 2 feet. I suppose 2ft + big fucking hurricane = 10ft.
posted by falameufilho at 11:13 AM on March 20, 2012


sotonohito: "I live in Amarillo TX, elevation 3,605 feet. I'm worried about climate change and rising sea levels, but not for me personally."

It's not just water levels that the earth's climate affects. Think animal and plant habitats. All of us, even you in Amarillo TX, have a reason worry about plant habitats.
posted by Defenestrator at 5:48 PM on March 20, 2012


From the better link, it's disheartening to see just how a metre or two (generally anticipated before the end of the century (and it doesn't just magically come to a stop then either)) is going to be quite disastrous on large parts of the globe that are economically vital. Check out Shanghai on +1 metre. Guangzhou. London at 2 metres.
posted by wilful at 7:57 PM on March 21, 2012


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