If all we have is correlation, even if the two things ALWAYS happen at the same time, we still can’t prove causation until we know how one causes the other. This is the most basic pillar of research. If all we know is correlation, then we have to leave room for the possibility that the two things are caused by a third factor, or that they are unrelated... Obesity is correlated with diseases, but causation isn’t proven. It’s possible that both things are caused by a third factor (for example the stress of constant stigma has also been correlated to many of the same diseases as obesity in Peter Muennig’s work). There are some chemicals that are in food that are correlated to both obesity and the disease that are commonly correlated with obesity.From a book* I've been reading recently:
That “obesity kills” has been the backbone of the federal public health campaign. Yet that is not supported by evidence examined by federal employees. Their research found that “even severe obesity failed to show up as a statistically significant mortality risk”236 and suggested that overweight may actually be protective.235*You may be getting your "millions" number from the infamous CDC study that stated 400,000 people died from obesity every year--but the study was proven gravely erroneous by an updated federal report that "acknowledged that the analysis suffered from computational errors.235 Using better methodology and newer data, CDC epidemiologists reduced the estimate fifteen-fold, determining that obesity and overweight were only associated with an excess of 26,000 annual deaths, far fewer than guns, alcohol, or car crashes.235"*
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posted by 2bucksplus at 9:06 AM on April 4, 2012