The Cox Proportional Hazard Model on Fire
April 12, 2012 7:45 PM Subscribe
The Hunger Games Survival Analysis
posted by blahblahblah (10 comments total)
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is kinda neat, but also an interesting use of statistics (a basic chi-square test
and a more sophisticated survival analysis
) in solving not-quite-real world problems. In this case, whether the Lottery in the Hunger Games was rigged and what factors predict the winner of the Games. This work joins a tradition of analyses of the world of Panem, such as whether the economy was realistic
, the problems of teserrae inflation
, and this (slightly problematic, as the first link points out) application of game theory
For those who find the statistics, rather than the dynamics of Panem, intereting, there are some nice online resources, which can be combined with the Hunger Games dataset
to get your feet wet in survival analysis, an important statistical technique in medicine and social science.
A reasonably painless introduction to the topic can be found in this Nature tutorial
(you can skip the math if you want). If you want to start working with the data, start with the relatively straight-forward Kaplan-Meier survival function, which has a nice explanation (and online calculator) at Vassar.
To actually run the model, you will need to enter the data into a hazard model regression calculator, which can be found online