BTW: If you really do have a death certificate that lists cause of death as "Global Warming", it might be a bit morbid, but you'd definately change my mind on the matter if I might be able to see it. If it's just heatstroke, people died of that before they could even set fire to things, so that clearly doesn't count.What follows is speculation: The figure probably comes from second-order effects of global warming (here is an animation). For example, if you live in a warm, poor part of the globle that formerly had an average annual temperature of, say, 75 degrees and now it is 77, there will be some predictable increase in malaria outbreaks, and corresponding fatalities. That sort of thing.
If you can't do that then you don't have a solid basis for the argument, do you?You might. There could be countervailing effects, such as improved medicine. As a parallel, there's little question that Americans are getting more obese, which should lead to more heart attacks and more deaths. But there have been huge advances in responding to and treating heart attacks, so the survival rate from them is actually much better than, say, 30 years ago.
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Also, doesn't this site strike anyone as being sort of "do our work for us?" Maybe I am just cranky.
posted by Joey Michaels at 11:42 AM on April 29, 2004