U.S. Election Deniers Are In or Behind Critical Campaigns

July 10, 2022 9:52 PM

In Races to Run Elections, Candidates Are Backed by Key 2020 Deniers -- America First candidates could be competitive in at least four battleground states: Nevada, Arizona, Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Also --
* US primaries: Why secretary of state races matter more than ever
* Heading into June Primaries, New States United Action Data Highlights Trend of Election

Here is a link to this year’s primary schedule, to see which ones remain.

posted by NotLost (13 comments total)

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posted by slater at 10:12 PM on July 10, 2022 [1 favorite]

First of all if you're here to complain about the NYT, we know.

Not mentioned here is the case of Moore v Harper which will be before the next session of the SCOTUS:

Could the US supreme court give state legislatures unchecked election powers? (grauniad)

The case, Moore v Harper, involves a dispute over North Carolina’s congressional districts. At the heart of the case is what has come to be known as the independent state legislature theory (ISL) – the idea that state legislatures cannot be checked by state supreme courts when it comes to setting rules for federal elections, even if the legislature’s actions violate the state’s constitution.

The potential for self-dealing is so plain to see it defies common sense that this is before the court at all. If I have any hope it's that one party rule cannot abide an independent judiciary, will the federalist society give up their power so easily? We're relying on a handmaid and a rapist being selfish.
posted by adept256 at 2:26 AM on July 11, 2022 [5 favorites]

Maybe Dobbs Did Change The Race. We'll Need More Time To Know For Sure.

Democrats now trail Republicans by 1.6 percentage points in the FiveThirtyEight average. That compares with a 2.3-point deficit on June 24, when the Supreme Court announced in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health that it would overturn Roe v. Wade.

Why make a huge deal of the difference between 2.3 points and 1.6 points? Well, I’m not making a huge deal of it. But because of the way our polling average is designed, it’s a bigger deal than it might seem at first glance...

If this persists, then our generic ballot average — and also our midterm model — will eventually catch up and move toward Democrats. Of course, that might not happen. The change could still be a statistical quirk.

Not mentioned here is the case of Moore v Harper which will be before the next session of the SCOTUS

previously

also btw...
-How The Supreme Court Could Turbocharge Gerrymandering — Just In Time for 2024
-The Supreme Court's Partisan Divide Hasn't Been This Sharp In Generations
-What Happens When Americans Don't Trust Institutions?
posted by kliuless at 4:56 AM on July 11, 2022 [3 favorites]

Wisconsin Supreme Court rules absentee ballot drop boxes are illegal (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel) Note: there are two Justice Bradleys so pay attention to first names. More from Slate, which says, "There is an understandable contempt for Democratic politicians who call on supporters to vote their way out of this crisis. But in Wisconsin, those who are still able to vote hold the solution in their hands. Next year, voters will replace the far-right Justice Patience Drake Roggensack in a judicial election. If the Democrat prevails, the court will flip to a 4–3 liberal majority."
posted by joannemerriam at 6:18 AM on July 11, 2022 [1 favorite]

The point of the post was not “We are doomed,” but “Here are key races. We have the opportunity to get involved and possibly make a pivotal difference.”

For example, the primaries in Arizona and Michigan (1, 2) are Aug. 2.
posted by NotLost at 6:29 AM on July 11, 2022 [10 favorites]

Small detail: the Pennsylvania Sec. of State is appointed by the governor--the "America First" candidate in that race is the Republican candidate for governor, Mastriano, who would then be likely to appoint an extremist Sec. of State if he wins.

People in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin (possibly others) are electing Secs. of State this year, always a good idea to keep an eye on those downballot races.
posted by gimonca at 6:42 AM on July 11, 2022 [5 favorites]

As a reminder DEMOCRATIC ASSOCIATION OF SECRETARIES OF STATE are a thing.
posted by lalochezia at 7:19 AM on July 11, 2022 [1 favorite]

Postcards to Voters is writing to Florida right now to sign people up for vote by mail. (They do other campaigns as well - none are active at the moment but something could be any minute.)

Postcards to Swing States is writing to states with Senate races. They provide the postcards and addresses, you provide the stamps and do the hand-writing of their text.

Tennessee (where I live) has their primary Aug 4 with early voting July 15 to I think 30. (I plan to vote July 20, which is the first day that all early voting locations are open.) I made a list of all my selections and why (I call them endorsements but as I am a nobody my endorsement is meaningless).
posted by joannemerriam at 7:30 AM on July 11, 2022 [8 favorites]

People in Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin (possibly others) are electing Secs. of State this year, always a good idea to keep an eye on those downballot races.

Ohio also has supreme court seats on the ballot. The Republican Chief Justice has voted with the Democrats to reject the jerrymandered maps produced by the Republican legislature. If the court tips the other way the consequences for Ohio democracy could be dire.
posted by Surely This at 9:57 AM on July 11, 2022 [8 favorites]

"People with experience in the last thing usually take part in the next." Historian Patrick Wyman has been mentioned on Metafilter before, but his quote from this post was mind blowing.
posted by TorontoSandy at 10:51 AM on July 11, 2022 [4 favorites]

For example, the primaries in Arizona and Michigan (1, 2) are Aug. 2.

In AZ it seems like there's been a much more visible PR effort this year to let voters registered as Independent know they can temporarily register with a specific party in order to vote in the primaries. It'll be interesting to see how much of a factor that is in the results, specifically if it's effective in ending the campaigns of the deniers.
posted by fuse theorem at 11:35 AM on July 11, 2022 [1 favorite]

The good news is that a bunch of Democrats crossed over (we have open primaries) and voted against Trump's endorsed Sec of State candidate and in favor of the incumbent who Trump didn't endorse. The bad news is that incumbent is Brad Raffensperger, who didn't falsely declare Trump to have won the state of Georgia, and has cooperated with the Jan 6 Committee, but has still done and will do everything in his power to suppress voters of color.
posted by hydropsyche at 1:09 PM on July 11, 2022 [4 favorites]

If you want to help, donate to Bee Nguyen for Secretary of State or Fair Fight
posted by hydropsyche at 1:16 PM on July 11, 2022 [2 favorites]