This is going to continue, until enough Americans feel real pain. I recently heard (no cite, it was on Pacifica Radio) that consumer behavior studies sow that consumers pretty much return to old patterns within four months, if they're convinced that "everything is all tight".I don't think consumers have gotten that feeling at all. There's still a huge unemployment rate, for example. Lots of people know people who are unemployed, and so on.
...entities performing maturity transformation receive some form of both liquidity and credit support... The reason that banks are the central providers of support services, and therefore are the main backers of shadow banking, is that their sponsoring services are credible. And this credibility in turn emanates from the support they receive from the official sector. These patterns suggest two basic paths to reduce the fragility of shadow banking activities. The first is to strengthen the ability of, and increase the cost to, sponsoring banks to backstop them; the kind of liquidity and capital enhancements that are embedded in Basel III. The other is to insist on the ability of the shadow institutions to provide for a robust and credible backstop that resides outside of traditional banks...of course investors essentially bet on (correctly) taking advantage of explicit and implicit government/taxpayer backstops and bailouts, so arguably it was less a failure 'to understand the ultimate risk' than success at gaming the system, which krieger admits continues to this day... What's the problem?
The investors in the market segments discussed above shared in common a lack of understanding about the creditworthiness of underlying collateral. The search for yield by investors without proper regard or pricing for the risk inherent in the underlying collateral is a common theme in shadow banking. The long intermediation chains inherent in shadow banking lend themselves to this—they obscure information to investors about the underlying creditworthiness of collateral. Like a game of telephone where information is destroyed in every step, the transformation of loans into securities, securities into repo contracts, and repo contracts into private money makes it quite difficult for investors to understand the ultimate risk of their exposure.
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$317million to Title X Family Planning = socialism
posted by hippybear at 10:00 PM on April 12, 2011 [137 favorites]