I think this will be a great year for HTML5. We will see broad usage of sqllite databases and usage of h.264 as Chrome and Safari become widespread. Apple and Google have built very large distribution channels for web content and are heavily pushing their browsers forward. Google's abandoning of IE6 and successful marketing of Chrome may make Firefox less and less relevant to the shape of browser development.Ugh, is that really a good thing? I mean, for google to own that much of the web? The primary search engine and the browser and the add platform, etc?
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This argument is exactly backwards. The future of the web isn't driven by what features YouTube will support. It is driven by what features users flock to, on YouTube or not.
YouTube wasn't begun as a way for Big Media to put DRM'd "content" on for "consumers". It was begun as a way to share funny cat videos. Once everyone started going there, Big Media had to come along.
So it doesn't matter if YT doesn't adopt HTML5 video. Somebody will and people who hate Flash (like mobile device and Linux users for whom it barely works) will go there. That site will become the next YouTube and Big Media will court them.
posted by DU at 9:21 AM on February 3, 2010 [16 favorites]